Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.052268 0.059625 0.067158 0.075418 0.084188 0.093196 0.103119
2025-10-05 0.044467 0.055702 0.067736 0.081445 0.096506 0.112433 0.130444
2025-10-12 0.035539 0.048678 0.063342 0.080607 0.100099 0.121182 0.145487
2025-10-19 0.030276 0.044859 0.061714 0.082085 0.105569 0.131393 0.161572
2025-10-26 0.025555 0.041013 0.059502 0.082404 0.109301 0.139307 0.174781
2025-11-02 0.022234 0.038455 0.058471 0.083792 0.113997 0.148087 0.188762
2025-11-09 0.018926 0.035513 0.056662 0.083990 0.117086 0.154856 0.200310
2025-11-16 0.015037 0.031311 0.052913 0.081526 0.116776 0.157494 0.206955
2025-11-23 0.011815 0.027618 0.049508 0.079229 0.116452 0.159946 0.213232
2025-11-30 0.010241 0.026172 0.048947 0.080413 0.120265 0.167187 0.225001
2025-12-07 0.009019 0.025118 0.048816 0.082070 0.124600 0.175004 0.237405
2025-12-14 0.008231 0.024675 0.049475 0.084711 0.130122 0.184214 0.251427
2025-12-21 0.006908 0.023208 0.048698 0.085562 0.133583 0.191188 0.263127
2025-12-28 0.007191 0.024711 0.052301 0.092334 0.144588 0.207350 0.285801
2026-01-04 0.005634 0.022510 0.050303 0.091475 0.145871 0.211715 0.294475
2026-01-11 0.004813 0.021594 0.050147 0.093059 0.150222 0.219776 0.307515
2026-01-18 0.003861 0.020194 0.049142 0.093400 0.152925 0.225787 0.318083
2026-01-25 0.003235 0.019382 0.048990 0.094884 0.157071 0.233545 0.330727
2026-02-01 0.002503 0.018099 0.047984 0.095095 0.159514 0.239170 0.340779
2026-02-08 0.001555 0.015788 0.045084 0.092462 0.158117 0.239954 0.344912
2026-02-15 0.000863 0.013726 0.042399 0.090005 0.156855 0.240831 0.349098
2026-02-22 0.000622 0.013136 0.042264 0.091271 0.160538 0.247881 0.360770
2026-03-01 0.000457 0.012757 0.042480 0.093044 0.164892 0.255767 0.373462